EthicalSkeptic and Covid Tracking Project have great analysis and data.
Briefly:
There's no end of panic porn about Covid-19, and "Team Apocalpyse" (The Atlantic, CNN, New York Times, etc.) eagerly promotes every possible scary trope. For all the following actual observations, those outlets publish hysterical (and sometimes false) reports of the extremely rare counterexamples:
People are terrified. The big question is: How can we make our way out of this and restore normal life and prosperity? Scott Atlas is trying to communicate the risks of virus vs costs of our response - and getting vicious vilification for it. But can we suspend life for another year or two or five until we have a vaccine? What if there are adverse events following vaccination?
State governors have police power. They are the ones who commanded the lockdowns and masking and social distancing rules. They are responsible for the great blunders - Andrew Cuomo's nursing home orders alone might have killed 10,000 people.
Somehow this has all gone political - but Trump, for all his moronic tweeting, hasn't done a particularly bad job - because there's really nothing a president can do. Closing borders didn't make any difference - by the time it happened the virus was already endemic everywhere - but while it was opposed at the time by Democrats it's now generally agreed to have been a reasonable measure. For all the anti-Trump rhetoric, we never needed ventilators or emergency overflow hospitals. Do people believe that Biden/Harris will somehow make life all good again? Is the destruction of half the nation's restaurants and a third of all small businesses, and the permanent loss of 20 million jobs just a tactic in a presidential election year?
Further readings on Covid-19:
San Mateo County Dashboard
San Mateo County reports on just 390 beds, but the county has seven hospitals:
Hospital | Beds |
---|---|
Kaiser Redwood City | 149 |
Kaiser South SF | 120 |
Mills Peninsula | 301 |
Sequoia Hospital | 208 |
Seton Medical Center | 434 |
Seton Coastside | 121 |
San Mateo Medical Center | 448 |
TOTAL | 1,763 |
Daily Update of COVID-19 Costs
Michael Senger on harms of lockdown, "the greatest crime of the 21st century."
The Long-Term Impact of the Covid-19 Unemployment Shock on Life Expectancy and Mortality Rates
Nature: No asymptomatic transmission!
@BallouxFrancois: Covid-19 response is a policy question, not science
Delaying herd immunity is costing lives - spiked
National coronavirus response: A road map to reopening | American Enterprise Institute - AEI
COVID-19 and the Path to Immunity | JAMA
Anders Tegnell and the Swedish Covid experiment
Covid-19 T Cell (ELISPOT) test kits
Commercially Available Covid-19 test kids
At-home test for novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2)
Coronavirus Test Tracker: Commercially Available COVID-19 Diagnostic Tests | 360Dx
EUA Authorized Serology Test Performance | FDA
RP5800950 Premier Biotech INGM-MC42S
Balloux: Covid-19 Response is Policy, not Science
Aaron Ginn: Evidence Over Hysteria
Why Conservatives and Liberals Are Not Experiencing the Same Pandemic
Jay Bhattacharya - Questioning Conventional Wisdom
Z-Scores Are Misleading & Create Panic: Or, How Not To Compare Pandemics - William M. Briggs
Our Dangerous Illusions About Risk
Life Has Become the Avoidance of Death
Covid-19 Mortality, Factor Analysis
Covid-19 circulating prior to January 2020 Oxford Clinical Infectious Diseases
Substantial underestimation of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the United States, Nature, Sept 9, 2020
Estimated incidence of COVID-19 illness and hospitalization — USA, Feb–Sept 2020 Clinical Infectious Diseases, IDSA
COVID-19 was circulating in the US in December 2019 Clinical Infectious Diseases, IDSA
IFR Random-Sample Prevalence Annals of Internal Medicine, superior, peer-reviewed journal
High prevalence of Covid-19 among pregnant women in NYC
Holman Jenkins: Should You Get Covid-19?
Are we underestimating seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2? British Medical Journal
Herd Immunity Threadhold 10-20%
Indoor Transmission of Covid-19
Pre-Existing Covid-19 immunity
Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions:
NBER: Four Stylized Facts about COVID-19 (National Bureau of Economic Research - serious, excellent work)
A Country Level Analysis… EClinicalMedical/The Lancet
The Failed Experiment of Covid Lockdowns Wall Street Journal
Nonpharmaceutical Measures for Pandemic Influenza in Nonhealthcare Settings
Rapid systematic review: efficacy of face masks and respirators
Twitter thread on DANMASK-19 status
Justin Hart's master thread on masks
Masking Lack of Evidence with Politics | Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine, Oxford
Masks for All Not Based on Sound Data | University of Minnesota
Randomised Trial of Cloth Masks | BMJ
Systematic Review of Face Masks | NIH
Uncompromised Science on Masks
Timing of Masks and Outbreaks, by Country
Flu vaccines don't reduce hospitalization or mortality
AstraZeneca Phase 3 trial due to end October 5, 2022
Moderna Phase 3 trial due to end October 27, 2022
Common Cold at Antarctic Base | NIH
Ushuaia fishing boat infections
Lockdown effects on Covid-19 spread
Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19: A Tale of Three Models
The infection fatality rate of COVID-19 inferred from seroprevalence data | medRxiv
Perspectives on the Pandemic | Dr John Ioannidis of Stanford University | Interview - YouTube
Perspectives on the Pandemic | Dr. John Ioannidis Update: 4.17.20 | Episode 4 - YouTube
Global perspective of COVID-19 epidemiology for a full-cycle pandemic (October 2020)
A Fiasco in the Making - March 17, 2020
John Ioannidis - Perspectives - 2020-04-17
Covid-19 Infection Fatality Rate
Covid-19 Seroprevalence in Santa Clara County, California
The Harms of Exaggerated Information and Non-Evidence-Based Measures
And a few from Aaron Ginn and Alex Berenson:
lungs-damaged-coronavirus-can-repair-three-months
has-the-post-covid-future-already-been-decided
has-switzerland-handled-crisis-better-almost-anyone-else-europe
going-to-school-does-not-increase-risk-of-young-children-catching-coronavirus
Why Is All Covid-19 News Bad News? NBER
He died in a motorcycle accident.
Misguided Shutdown Policy Began as High School Science Project